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AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC (AMP)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Adjusted operating EPS was $9.54 excluding severance and share-based comp mark-to-market, up 23% YoY; GAAP diluted EPS was $10.58 vs $3.57 a year ago . Total net revenues were $4.501B, up 13% YoY and 2% QoQ, with pretax adjusted operating margin at 26.8% .
- Advice & Wealth Management delivered pretax adjusted operating earnings of $823M with a 29.0% margin; wrap net inflows hit an all-time quarterly high of $11.1B (8% annualized) and total client assets reached ~$1.0T .
- Asset Management grew adjusted operating net revenues 10% to $930M and expanded net pretax adjusted operating margin to 39.0%, aided by performance fees and transformation-driven expense discipline; total AUM/AUA net flows improved to +$1.3B .
- Corporate returned $768M in Q4 via buybacks and dividends; dividend declared at $1.48 per share payable Feb 28, 2025 . Adjusted operating ROE ex-AOCI was 52.7% on a trailing basis .
- Near-term catalysts: redeployment of elevated client cash ($85.4B) into advisory products, bank NII stabilization post positioning to ~87% fixed mix, and product launches (fixed pledge loans, HELOCs, checking) in 2025 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Record advisory momentum: “Client inflows into fee-based investment advisory accounts grew to an all-time high” and wrap flows were $11.1B in Q4 (8% annualized flow rate) .
- Margin expansion in Asset Management: pretax adjusted operating margin rose to 39.0% with continued performance fees and lower underlying G&A (ex performance comp) .
- Capital returns and ROE: returned $768M in Q4 and $2.8B for FY’24; adjusted operating ROE ex-AOCI reached 52.7% .
What Went Wrong
- Institutional flow headwinds: Asset Management saw $3.9B net outflows in institutional channels and $0.9B outflows from legacy insurance partners, partially offsetting retail/model delivery inflows .
- Lower interest revenue headwind in AWM: revenue growth more than offset a >60 bps reduction in average Fed funds rate YoY, but net investment income in AWM declined 5% YoY in Q4 .
- Elevated market risk benefits/claims in Protection: RPS booked $156M change in fair value of market risk benefits and $224M benefits/claims; LTC results reflected higher closed claims despite improved rate increases .
Financial Results
Segment performance
KPIs and AUM/AUA
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “Ameriprise delivered a record year in 2024… Client inflows into fee-based investment advisory accounts grew to an all-time high… total client assets reached record levels… we invest in the business and return to shareholders at a differentiated rate.”
- CEO on Asset Mgmt: “We’re completing 2 years of transformational work… improved efficiency… tightly manage expenses while investing in active ETFs, SMA and model delivery; assets under advisement now over $35B” .
- CFO: “Adjusted operating EPS increased 23% to $9.54… consolidated margin of 27%… returned $768M (81% of operating earnings) in Q4; $2.8B (78%) for 2024; ROE best-in-class at 52.7%.”
- CFO on AWM: “Pretax adjusted operating earnings increased 18% to $823M… more than offset the ~$20M impact from Fed funds rate cuts and portfolio repositioning; G&A $438M; margins remained strong at 29%.”
- CEO on banking products: fixed pledge loans (later Q1), HELOCs (Q2), checking account later in 2025 to deepen engagement and support loan growth .
Q&A Highlights
- Bank NII: CFO highlighted repositioning to ~87% fixed securities, crediting rate adjustments, deposit growth; expects to sustain and continue NII in 2025 despite rate reductions .
- Client cash normalization: CEO expects gradual redeployment from elevated cash (8% of assets) back into advisory and fixed income products as rates normalize; not a dramatic shift .
- Loan growth mix: CEO sees residential mortgages leading near-term, with expansion into pledge loans and HELOCs; deposit products (CDs, checking) to support bank growth .
- Capital allocation/M&A: CEO favors organic growth and targeted, disciplined opportunities; sees PE driving wealth acquisition valuations up, thus less inclined to large inorganic deals currently .
- Corporate/G&A trajectory: Corporate costs expected similar to Q4 early in 2025 with less severance as cloud migration costs fade; continued prudent G&A management across segments .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global Wall Street consensus estimates were unavailable due to access limits during this session, so an EPS/revenue vs-consensus comparison cannot be provided. As a result, no beat/miss determination versus Street is included here. The company reported adjusted operating EPS of $9.54 (ex items) and total net revenues of $4.501B for Q4 .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Advisory flywheel accelerating: wrap net inflows at $11.1B and record revenue/advisor suggest continued momentum; elevated client cash ($85.4B) offers incremental deployment tailwind as rates normalize .
- Asset Management inflection: transformation and performance fees are expanding margins; flows turned positive (+$1.3B), though institutional remains lumpy—position sizing should reflect flow volatility .
- Bank earnings resilience: repositioning to ~87% fixed and crediting adjustments position NII to sustain through a lower-rate environment; upcoming products should deepen client engagement and support balances .
- Protection steady: RPS earnings are consistent with higher sales in SVAs and VUL; monitor market risk benefits and claims volatility against strong free cash flow generation .
- Capital returns remain robust: $768M in Q4, $2.8B in FY’24, and dividend maintained at $1.48; sustained high ROE ex-AOCI (52.7%) underpins buyback capacity .
- Near-term trading: positive narrative on flows and margins with potential incremental upside from cash redeployment; watch institutional flows and rate path impacts on AWM margin (~29%) .
- Medium-term thesis: diversified engines (AWM advisory scale, Asset Mgmt margin uplift, bank NII stabilization, RPS cash generation) support compounders’ profile with disciplined capital allocation through cycles .